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INTERNATIONAL CENTRE FOR THE SETTLEMENT OF

INVESTMENT DISPUTES



GABRIEL RESOURCES LTD.

AND GABRIEL RESOURCES (JERSEY) LTD.

Claimants

VS.

ROMANIA

Respondent


ICSID CASE NO. ARB/15/31



RESPONDENT’S SECOND POST-HEARING BRIEF

23 APRIL 2021












LALIVE

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1 INTRODUCTION

1 The Respondent submits this Second Post-Hearing Brief in response to the Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief in accordance with the timetable agreed by the Parties and approved by the Tribunal on 6 October 2020 and as amended, with the Tribunal’s approval, on 27 January 2021.

2 Romania’s position on the facts and the law has been consistent throughout the arbitration, as a review of its pleadings up to and including this brief, demonstrates. Its position has been rooted in the evidence, including the oral evidence given at the hearings in 2019 and 2020. By contrast, the Claimants’ case has continuously shifted as they have searched for new ways to state their case – and it has again shifted in the Claimants’ Post- Hearing Brief. Their most recent reiteration of their case relies on a remarkably selective reading of the evidence and disregards Romania’s evidence, as demonstrated in this submission.

3 This dispute arises out of a mining project that has failed to materialize, because of the Claimants’ own failures, and not because of anything that Romania did or did not do. Contrary to what the Claimants allege, Romania did not block or delay the Project, nor did it have any interest in doing so. The Parties were partners, and Romania had a strong interest in the Project succeeding.

4 The Project has stalled first and foremost because of RMGC’s failure to meet the permitting requirements, which in turn is a consequence of RMGC’s failure to secure the social license for the Project. RMGC faced significant hurdles to begin with, given the sheer scale and complexity of the Project, and the resulting, unsurprising need for numerous permits that were often interdependent. The Project was not only challenging because of its remote location and the resulting logistical difficulties; it was also invasive, involving the destruction of four mountains and unique, over 2,000 years old Roman galleries lying within, as well as the relocation of some 2,000 residents of the Roşia Montană village. There have been very few, if any, mining projects that have faced similar logistical, regulatory, environmental, social and cultural challenges. RMGC failed to overcome those challenges.

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5 To date, RMGC has failed to complete the EIA stage of the permitting process and thus to secure the environmental permit, primarily due to its failure to propose and secure the approval of the urban plans that should have served as the blueprint for the Project; its failure to undertake the requested archaeological research and to secure and maintain the requisite ADCs; its failure to buy all of the land on which the Project was to be built; and its failure to address a host of technical questions, such as those relating to the EU Water Framework Directive and the Project’s envisaged use of cyanide.

6 RMGC failed in the permitting process largely because of its failure to secure the social license to operate – its failure to convince the residents of Roşia Montană, as well as the general public, that the Project was worth the social and environmental costs, and the loss of cultural heritage. Opposition to the Project was palpable at the outset and became entrenched, before spreading from the local to the national, and even international level. The opposition’s relentless determination to “save” Roşia Montană propelled the name of a Transylvanian village into the consciousness of a nation and beyond.

7 RMGC’s lack of a social license is evidenced in particular by the incessant NGO litigation and its impact on the Project. [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted] [Redacted]

8 The Claimants’ case is that Romania’s alleged breaches started in August 2011, some two months before the Canada BIT entered into force. Nothing of any relevance happened in August 2011 but, as of September 2011, RMGC’s challenges continued to pile up. First, RMGC received a letter from the Ministry of Environment listing over 100 issues, many of which RMGC concluded it could not or did not want to address. Second, NGOs


1 Counter-Memorial, 105 (para. 276); Tr. 2020, 262:7-21 (R. Op.).

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commenced proceedings seeking the annulment of the latest Cârnic ADC (secured in July 2011) and the environmental endorsement for the amended PUZ (secured in March 2011). To secure an approved PUZ, RMGC needed a valid environmental endorsement and other endorsements. RMGC in turn needed an approved PUZ to commence expropriation proceedings and to secure the environmental and building permits. RMGC also needed valid ADCs for the environmental and building permits.

9 Faced with these significant hurdles, RMGC sought, starting in the fall of 2011, to negotiate a customized agreement with the Government and to procure a special law for the Project. In 2013, the Government sought to support RMGC and to facilitate the Project by submitting the Roșia Montană Law to Parliament. The law’s rejection by Parliament, in response to the mass protests that continued for months, is exhibit one of democratic decision-making at work, not a treaty breach. Parliament could not impose on the general public a law that fundamentally lacked social legitimacy.

10 This brief is not a final summary of Romania’s position or of the relevant evidence from the 2019 and 2020 hearings. It is a response to the key points of the Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief, starting with the following introductory remarks.

11 The Claimants have not submitted a post-hearing brief in any proper sense, that is, a brief that summarizes the relevant evidence that came out of the two hearings. They have barely referred to the oral evidence that unfolded at the hearing at all. Whereas Romania cited over 920 times to the hearing transcripts in its First Post-Hearing Brief, the Claimants did so only 196 times. The Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief instead contains extensive argument – and, in many cases, new argument – not evidence.2 The Claimants’ quasi-silence regarding the hearing testimony demonstrates how unhelpful and devastating that evidence was to their claims.

12 The Claimants are heavily and improperly selective of the evidence – hearing and other evidence – to which they do cite and ignore or


2 It is also for this reason that Romania’s First Post-Hearing Brief was more heavily redacted than the Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief.

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mischaracterize evidence that undermines their newly-developed narrative.

13 Because of the word limit for this submission, Romania cannot respond to every argument or address each instance in which the Claimants give a misleading presentation of the evidence. Romania thus respectfully requests that the Tribunal not rely on the Claimants’ selective narrative and that it make its own independent analysis of the evidence.

14 The Claimants also systematically mischaracterize Romania’s position; this is facilitated by the Claimants’ failure to provide references to Romania’s submissions. The Tribunal thus also cannot rely on the Claimants’ purported descriptions of Romania’s position.

15 Romania has produced key evidence on all main claims and defenses, including – as must be unprecedented in investment treaty arbitration – from two former Prime Ministers and two former Ministers of Economy. The Claimants’ complaint that Romania did not put forward certain other individuals as witnesses and their speculation as to the reasons for Romania not doing so are thus not only irrelevant but incorrect.3 In any event, much of the Claimants’ case can be rebutted by documentary evidence alone and does not require any additional witness evidence.

16 The Claimants falsely argue for the first time that Romania’s witness on behalf of the Ministry of Environment, Ms. Dorina Mocanu, did not have decision-making authority.4 She of course did – she was the Director of the Pollution Control and Impact Assessment Directorate between September 2009 and June 2012 (and from June 2014 to today) and thus oversaw the EIA Review Process during her tenure.5 Unlike the State Secretaries who presided over the TAC meetings who were transitory political appointees,


3 PHB-Cl., 32 (para. 68) and 72 (para. 163).

4 PHB-Cl., 32 et seq (para. 68).

5 The Claimants reproach Romania for not presenting as a witness “anyone from the Ministry of Environment department responsible for the water, waste management, or other issues raises in this arbitration.” As head of the EIA Directorate, Ms. Mocanu had, however, in-depth knowledge about these issues and the technical requirements for the Project and was responsible for their integrated coordination. Nothing prevented the Claimants from asking her questions on these topics.

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she was a member of the TAC, who would have voted, had the permitting process reached that stage.

17 At this late stage of the proceedings, the Claimants still equivocate as to how precisely – and when – Romania committed a treaty breach. Remarkably, they concede throughout the Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief that the Claimants and their top management were unaware of any breach of treaty at the time and openly acknowledge that Romania’s alleged breaches became clear “[o]nly after the passage of time and viewed in hindsight”.6

18 If the Claimants were unaware of any treaty breach at the time, so must have been Romania – in which case there could not have been any treaty breach. The Claimants’ case is like the proverbial case of a tree falling in a forest without anyone seeing or hearing it. Their case does not pass the straight-face test. It is simply not credible – let alone legally tenable – for a party to seek close to USD 5 billion in damages for a treaty breach to which it was oblivious both at the time and in the years that followed. Indeed, it was not until after the 2019 hearing, in May 2020, that the Claimants finally came up with the conjecture that a treaty breach must have occurred “on or about 9 September 2013.”

19 Instead of summarizing the hearing evidence, the Claimants have used their Post-Hearing Brief to once again reformulate their case. They argue that if “conduct commencing in August 2011” did not give rise to a BIT breach on or about 9 September 2013, alternatively, a breach occurred subsequently.7 This new, alternative claim must fail not only because it is late (and as such inadmissible), but also because the Claimants have not articulated how and when Romania allegedly breached the treaty. When directed to identify the alleged breach at and after the 2019 hearing, they did not argue – either at the hearing or in their PO 27 brief – that, in the alternative, a breach occurred at any particular date “after September 2013.”


6 PHB-Cl., 95 (para. 222); see also e.g. id. at 12 (para. 33) (“The State’s conduct viewed as of July 30, 2012 and not now in hindsight, although improper, would not have been considered sufficiently improper so as to constitute a breach of the Canada BIT.”).

7 PHB-Cl., 106 (Section VIII.C).

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20 The Claimants also attempt to raise a new, inadmissible claim by suggesting that, in the alternative, the Tribunal can award them their allegedly sunk costs.8 However, the Claimants never made such a claim in this arbitration, nor have they produced any evidence in support. Conversely, Romania has not had the opportunity to address such a claim or to present evidence (including expert evidence) in response. Although Romania requested evidence of the Claimants’ sunk costs during document production, the Claimants indicated that the requested documents were not relevant to any of the claims (and the Tribunal did not order them to produce) – in other words, the documents were not relevant to any of the claims because there was no claim for sunk costs.

21 The Claimants have made their bed and must lie in it. They cannot at the eleventh hour present a new claim without evidence and attempt trial by ambush, without affording Romania a full opportunity to submit evidence on this issue.

22 For these and the many other reasons demonstrated in Romania’s earlier submissions, the claims stand to be dismissed in their entirety.


8 PHB-Cl., 180 (para. 440).

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2 THE PROJECT HAS STALLED DUE TO RMGC’S FAILURE TO SECURE THE SOCIAL LICENSE (AND TO MEET THE PERMITTING REQUIREMENTS)

23 The Claimants are virtually silent in their Post-Hearing Brief regarding the social opposition to the Project and RMGC’s failure to secure the social license.

24 They continue to mischaracterize Romania’s position. Romania is not arguing that “the Government’s conduct was reasonable because the Project attracted opposition,” nor is it arguing that its purported conduct is justified or should be “excused” because of social opposition. PHB-Cl., 86 (paras. 201, 212 and 260).

25 A social license is not a legal concept; it refers to the social legitimacy of a mining project and thus is a factual rather than a legal matter. It is the mining company’s task to secure the social license and to ensure that the project is acceptable to the stakeholders, or at least that they tolerate it and refrain from taking action to block it.

26 The Claimants do not deny that RMGC, not the State, needed to secure the social license for the Project. PHB-Resp., 116 (paras. 428-431).

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2.1 RMGC Manifestly Failed to Secure the Social License

27 The Claimants argue that RMGC “maintained a ‘social license’ at least from 2011 onward...”. PHB-Cl., 86 (para. 202). They thus ignore the overwhelming evidence to the contrary, including:

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28 Social opposition has to date blocked the Project in that:

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29 Social opposition also affected the EIA Review Process as Project opponents raised an unprecedented number of comments and objections during the EIA public consultations, meaning that the Ministry of Environment, the TAC, and RMGC had more documentation to consider. By the fall of 2011, the EIA Report comprised some 25,000 pages. PHB- Resp., 113 (para. 408); R. PO27 Reply, 93 (paras. 227-229).

30 The question before the Tribunal is whether RMGC could overcome the social opposition and secured the social license. The answer is patently “no.” During the period 2011-2013:

31 It is therefore irrelevant that the Project may have occasionally benefitted from arguably “strong support” (quod non). Even a minority of opponents can block a project and thus deprive it of a social license; the issue is whether they choose to act – and they did in this case. PHB-Resp., 132 (paras. 480-484).

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32 It is manifest based on the record, including Dr. Thomson’s evidence, that RMGC had no social license at the relevant time, in particular during the period 2011-2013. Contrary to what the Claimants suggest, the Tribunal does not need a contemporaneous quantitative expert assessment to conclude that the lack of social license during the relevant period was manifest, and that RMGC never had a stable or meaningful social license, as Dr. Thomson testified.9

33 Investment arbitration tribunals have similarly found that projects lacked a social license, on the basis of the factual evidence on record, without referring to the Thomson-Boutilier model or expert evidence. See Rejoinder, 307 (para. 955 et seq.).


9 Dr. Thomson’s remark at the hearing that “if you’re trying to suggest that the Company did not have a Social License, that is not what I’ve said” must be understood in light of his testimony as a whole. He has consistently concluded that RMGC never secured a stable, meaningful, or unconditional social license. Thus, when making this remark, he meant that the Project might have had a social license at some points in time, but never a stable or unconditional one and in particular not in 2013. PHB-Resp., 132 (para. 481); Tr. 2019, 3022:13-3023:20 (Thomson); PHB-Cl., 87 (para. 203).

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operation, even assuming it had received all necessary environmental and other permits.” See Rejoinder, 310 (para. 962).

34 That RMGC was aware it did not have the social license is also evidenced by its massive and costly PR campaign. See Rejoinder, 325 (paras. 1003- 1004). Put simply, RMGC’s PR campaign was a campaign for a social license. Thomson Opinion II, 35 (paras. 94-95 and 168).

35 As Dr. Pop notes, “[i]n the absence of the opposition to the Project, the mining company would not have needed to defend and promote its Project publicly.” See Rejoinder, 324 (para. 1002).

36 RMGC’s media campaigns were not successful in placating the opposition.

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toxic propaganda used in [RMGC’s] media campaign”. Pop-45; Pop Opinion, 32 (para. 81).

2.2 The Social Opposition to the Project Resulted from RMGC’s Early Mismanagement, Not from the State’s Actions

37 The Claimants argue that the 2000 Baia Mare accident provided “fertile ground for Project opponents to try to equate improperly the environmentally-sound Project ... with the uninformed practices of a by- gone era.” PHB-Cl., 2 (para. 4).

38 The Claimants wrongly argue that Government authorities “delayed making decisions ..., including by halting archaeological research in 2006 and suspending the EIA Process in 2007” and “thus emboldened the NGOs and aggravated the controversies they sought to generate.” PHB-Cl., 2 (para. 5). However:

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39 RMGC did not apply for the environmental permit until December 2004. There is ample evidence that the opposition to the Project was entrenched by then:

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40 [Redacted]

41 The evidence of early opposition to the Project flies in the face of the Claimants’ argument that “[t]he small minority opposition stemmed from a general lack of trust in Government institutions as much as any other factor.” PHB-Cl., 112 (para. 266(a)).

2.3 RMGC Subsequently Failed to Manage the Social Opposition to the Project

42 The Claimants argue that “opposition to mining projects is common and is an aspect that many projects must and do manage. Indeed, opposition, including protests and property holdouts, is consistent with the acceptance or tolerance level of social license at which most mining projects operate...” PHB-Cl., 87 (para. 204).

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a better position to withstand some opposition. However, the Project was not yet operational, and this was the case because of the social opposition. RMGC therefore evidently could not manage or overcome the opposition. PHB-Resp., 148 (para. 557);

43 The Claimants argue that “RMGC responded diligently to the questions and concerns raised by the public as well as those raised in the TAC” and refers to steps it allegedly took to “ensure the Project met the needs of the local community”. PHB-Cl., 89 (paras. 209-210). However:

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management, which remained manifest between 2011 and 2015. C- 1618;

44 When mentioning the steps that RMGC allegedly took to purportedly “meet the needs of the local community”, the Claimants do not mention RMGC’s failure to secure the surface rights. They baselessly maintain that RMGC “reasonably expected to acquire all remaining affected properties when it recommenced its acquisition program once the EP was issued.” PHB-Cl., 88 (para. 207) and 140 (para. 338). However:

45 The Claimants’ proposition that “[p]roperty holdouts and opposition are commonplace in mining projects and thus not a material impediment to project implementation” is misguided. PHB-Cl., 142 (para. 341).

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46 The insinuation that RMGC addressed concerns about the impact of the Project is manifestly rebutted by the protests against the Roşia Montană Law and the Project, and the concerns expressed by protesters at the time.

2.4 The 2013 Protests Were the Culmination of the Social Opposition to the Project

47 The Claimants argue that “the subject of the [2013] protests was the perception, fueled by the Prime Minister himself, that the Special Law was a sweetheart deal for a project the Prime Minister claimed was engaged in corrupt dealings and that he did not support, but nevertheless submitted to Parliament for a vote.” PHB-Cl., 88 (para. 205). The Claimants’ argument is as tortured as it is nonsensical.

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public when doing so. It was in RMGC’s interest for the law to pass and it welcomed the law. The Government had a political interest in the law passing, as does any government which proposes a law to Parliament;

48 The Claimants wrongly suggest that there were no significant protests before the fall of 2013. PHB-Cl., 87 (para. 205):

49 RMGC failed to address the social opposition following the rejection of the Roşia Montană Law. PHB-Resp., 136 (para. 497); Rejoinder, 211 (670- 671).

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2.5 The State Supported the Project and Therefore the Social Opposition to the Project Is Not Attributable to the State

50 The Claimants’ argument that the State blocked the Project for political reasons is contradicted by the State’s issuance of dozens of permits for the Project and its defense of those permits in court. The permits included:

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51 For years, State authorities defended many of these permits in court. At least 83 NGO petitions and lawsuits against State authorities, regarding mainly the ADCs, urban certificates, and the urban plans are detailed at Counter-Memorial, 363 (Annex IV). Between 2004 and today, State authorities, including the Ministry of Environment and Ministry of Culture (both their central and local emanations), have opposed these challenges and defended the permits.

52 The issuance of permits and the relating litigation were reported in the press, by State authorities, Gabriel Canada, and RMGC. It was thus a matter of public knowledge that the Project permitting was proceeding in accordance with the law and that the State was not blocking it.

53 The Claimants argue that purportedly negative statements by State officials fueled opposition to the Project. PHB-Cl., 87 (para. 205). However:

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54 The Claimants argue that “political reasons ... prevented updates of the LHM and final approval of the updated PUZ, which in turn fuelled NGO litigation that eventually led to the annulment of the SEA endorsement in 2016.” PHB-Cl., 53 (para. 116). This is false. See below para. 126.

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3 THE CLAIMS FALL OUTSIDE THE TRIBUNAL’S JURISDICTION

55 The Claimants have failed to meet their burden of proving that the Tribunal has jurisdiction over the Claimants’ claims. Counter-Memorial, 169 (Section 8); Respondent’s Additional Preliminary Objection; Rejoinder, 11 (Section 2). Although the Claimants have raised new arguments on jurisdiction, they fail to address the flaws in their case, including regarding the date of the alleged breach. PHB-Cl., 5 (paras. 14-38); Tr. 2019, 288:2- 310:15 (Cl. Op.).

56 As to the objection that Gabriel Canada cannot base its claims on Romania’s conduct that took place prior to the entry into force of the Canada-Romania BIT in November 2011:

57 As to the objection that Gabriel Jersey has not made a qualifying investment, the Claimants claim that “[Redacted]”. PHB- Cl., 9 (para. 20(d)). This is incorrect.


10 Unless otherwise specified, all emphasis in quotes in this submission is added.

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4 ROMANIA DID NOT BREACH THE BITS

58 The Claimants allege that “between 2011 and 2013, Romania’s political and governmental leaders chose to support a policy of arbitrary political expediency in disregard of Gabriel’s legal rights and legitimate expectations.” PHB-Cl., 25 (para. 62(d)). Their allegation makes no sense, and there is no evidence to support it.

59 The Claimants complain of acts and omissions purportedly committed by dozens of individuals and organs over the course of many years, but they fail to demonstrate any sort of “policy” behind those purported acts and omissions.

60 Furthermore, many of the acts and omissions of which they complain were upheld by the Romanian courts in decisions which RMGC did not contest and which the Claimants have not challenged in this arbitration.

4.1 RMGC Failed to Meet the Environmental Permit Requirements

61 The Claimants allege that the Ministry of Environment delayed the approval of the Waste Management Plan and that the Ministry of Culture delayed its endorsement of the Project. These allegations are baseless.

62 The Claimants also deny the existence of several requirements for the environmental permit. PHB-Cl., 45 (paras. 92-95). Denial of their existence is more convenient than compliance, but this does not assist the Claimants.

63 The Claimants [Redacted] shortly after receiving the Ministry of Environment’s September 2011 letter with 102 requests, including its request for:

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64 Unable and/or unwilling to comply with these and other requirements, in part due to NGO litigation, RMGC’s representatives sought to circumvent the TAC and its requirements, to involve high-ranking officials in the permitting process, and to push for a law that would overcome these hurdles.

4.1.1 Ministry of Culture Endorsement

65 The Ministry of Culture endorsed the Project in April 2013. C-655.

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66 The Claimants wrongly maintain that a letter from December 2011 amounted to an endorsement. PHB-Cl., 34 (para. 72):

67 The Ministry of Culture did not “[wait] until 2013” before issuing the endorsement, nor was there any political blockage. PHB-Cl., 34 (paras. 72- 73); PHB-Resp., 22 (paras. 50-57). The Ministry of Culture could not have endorsed the Project earlier given that:

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68 The Claimants complain of the purported lack of contemporaneous evidence that research was necessary at Orlea before the Ministry of Culture could issue its endorsement. PHB-Cl., 36 (para. 74). However:

69 The Claimants wrongly allege that the Orlea Research Report was used as a “pretext” for the purported delay in issuing the endorsement. PHB-Cl., 35 (paras. 73-75). However:

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70 The Claimants complain about the Ministry of Culture’s purported failure to respond to the Ministry of Environment’s requests to confirm the endorsement in 2011-2012. PHB-Cl., 35 (paras. 72(c) and (d)). However, the Ministry of Culture could not confirm that it had issued an endorsement when it had not done so. It could not endorse the Project because it did not have all requisite elements at hand. Rejoinder, 174 (para. 552).

71 The Claimants criticize Ms. Mocanu for referring to a draft endorsement. PHB-Cl., 35 (para. 72(c), n. 145). However, they did not cross-examine her on this issue. That this document was not signed by all required authorities precisely shows that the approval process was not finalized. C- 638, 4 compare with 9 (missing signature of the Legal Service); Mocanu II, 72 (para. 208).

72 Contrary to the Claimants’ allegations, the Ministry of Culture’s endorsement of the Project was conditional upon having valid ADCs for Cârnic and Orlea. PHB-Cl., 34 (para. 72(b), n. 143); C-655, 1 (listing the ADCs among the documents on the basis of which the endorsement was issued) and 3 et seq. (point 1(a), conditioning the endorsement on the completion of the ADC procedure prior to the application for the building permit, and point 2 referring specifically to an ADC for Orlea); Rejoinder, 174 (paras. 550-551); Schiau LO II, 86 (para. 301).

4.1.2 Waste Management Plan

73 The Ministry of Environment approved the Waste Management Plan in May 2013.

74 The Claimants continue to allege that the approval of the Waste Management Plan was delayed for political reasons. They maintain that the Ministry of Environment approved the Waste Management Plan in May

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2013 (and not earlier) due to “political wind changes.” PHB-Cl., 37 (para. 76(e)). This allegation is baseless.

75 The Ministry of Environment’s approval of the Waste Management Plan is further evidence that the permitting process was not “blocked” in 2013.

4.1.3 Water Framework Directive and Water Management Permit

76 The Claimants wrongly distinguish in the Claimants’ Post-Hearing Brief compliance with the Water Framework Directive (and the Waters Law) from the water management permit for the Project. These go hand in hand. A company obtains a water management permit once it has demonstrated compliance with the Water Framework Directive. R-81, 12; R-495, 3 et

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seq.; R-239, 2. As the Ministry of Environment explained to RMGC, ANAR could only issue a water management permit if RMGC complied with the Water Framework Directive. R-545, 1; Rejoinder, 185 (para. 593).

77 The Claimants repeat their argument that the water management permit was not needed for the environmental permit. PHB-Cl., 59 (para. 127) and 61 (para. 134). This is incorrect:

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78 The Claimants incorrectly maintain that the sole outstanding requirement under the Water Framework Directive related to the declaration that the Project was of outstanding public interest. PHB-Cl., 42 (para. 86). This allegation is wrong as demonstrated by extensive, contemporaneous evidence.

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79 The Claimants rely on an undated draft decision to issue the environmental permit as evidence that RMGC purportedly complied with the Water Framework Directive. PHB-Cl., 43 (para. 89); C-2075.

80 Lastly, the Claimants deny that the EU Commissioner Janez Potočnik raised issues of compliance with the Water Framework Directive during a meeting with Ms. Plumb on 3 October 2013. PHB-Cl., 44 (para. 91).

4.1.4 Urban Plans

81 Romania has demonstrated that a PUZ is required for the issuance of an environmental permit. Rejoinder, 77 (para. 254).

82 RMGC was always aware of this requirement. Rejoinder, 78 (paras. 256- 257).

83 The Claimants assert that the Project benefitted from the 2002 PUZ being valid “at all relevant times”. PHB-Cl., 47 (para. 98). This is incorrect.

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84 The Claimants’ argument that political blockage prevented RMGC from obtaining the remaining endorsements needed for the updated PUZ is meritless. PHB-Cl., 47 (paras. 99 and 111).

85 The Claimants incorrectly allege that Ms. Mocanu’s hearing testimony about RMGC’s failure to provide an amended PUZ after the November 2011 TAC meeting was made “for the first time” and was “unsupported”. PHB-Cl., 48 (para. 101).

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86 The Claimants misrepresent the November 2011 TAC meeting discussions on this issue. PHB-Cl., 48 (para. 102).

87 [Redacted]

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88 As regards the 2013 Interministerial Commission, the Claimants state that "[t]he Ministry of Development noted as it had previously that approval of an updated PUZ was not required for the EP...” PHB-Cl., 50 (para. 105). This is misleading.

89 The Claimants wrongly assert that, in line with the Commission's request, RMGC provided the Ministry of Environment with information regarding the litigation over the PUZ. PHB-Cl., 50 (para. 107, n. 228).

90 The Claimants wrongly assert that “Minister of Environment Plumb confirmed to the Aarhus Compliance Committee in May 2013 that PUZ approval is not required to issue the EP". PHB-Cl., 51 (para. 108).

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However, their reliance on a response submitted by the Ministry of Environment in the context of an enquiry about Romania's compliance with the Aarhus Convention (i.e. on access to information and public participation in decision-making) is misplaced. C-2907.

4.1.5 Urban Certificate

91 As the TAC outlined at the outset, RMGC was required to have a valid urban certificate for the EIA Review Process. C-475, 4 (Filipaş); Rejoinder, 80 (paras. 263-265).

92 The Claimants allege that Romania has acknowledged that "RMGC had a valid urbanism certificate at all times between 2010-2018”. PHB-Cl., 46 (para. 97). This is incorrect.

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was suspended (UC 68/2004, 78/2006 and 105/2007) and three urban certificates were annulled (UC 78/2006, 105/2007 and UC 47/2013). Respondent's Opening 2019, 66.

4.1.6 Surface Rights

93 The Claimants wrongly allege that RMGC needed the surface rights to secure the building permit and that it did not need them for the environmental permit. PHB-Cl., 62 (para. 135).

94 They wrongly conflate the different types of surface rights, some of which were expressly required by law for the environmental permit:

95 As to the remaining types of surface rights, including for instance private residential property, although the law only expressly requires them for purposes of the building permit, this does not mean that they were not required for the environmental permit or that the Ministry of Environment did not have discretion to require them for purposes of issuing the environmental permit. Dragos LO II, 22 (paras. 78-82). As Prof. Dragoș explained:

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"[S]urface rights and the way in which the developer will deal with surface rights and how it will obtain these surface rights, it's a very important element of the Environmental Impact. The fact that you have to expropriate a large number of people for the project, that's an environmental concern. That should be assessed during the EIA Procedure. So, of course, nowhere you will find all these requirements in writing explicitly saying this because no laws are working like that. They cannot regulate everything for every situation.” Tr. 2019, 2691:13-2692:22.

4.1.7 Cyanide Transportation and Management

96 The TAC had repeatedly requested that RMGC indicate by which manner and route it would transport cyanide to the Project site. RMGC never did so. This failure in and of itself would justify the TAC's non-issuance of the permit.

97 Even assuming the Ministry's non-issuance of the environmental permit amounted to a BIT breach (which is denied), the TAC would have likely issued the permit upon the condition that RMGC identify the cyanide transporter and route. This would have required RMGC also to explain where and how it planned to store cyanide, which would have forced it to explain that it needed to build a cyanide storage facility at Zlatna. The Claimants fail to prove that RMGC would have been able to operate the Project profitably even if it had been required to build such a facility and notwithstanding the time that would have taken.

98 The Claimants' newest argument is that a cyanide transportation and storage facility in Zlatna was not needed since “RMGC had the option of on-site cyanide storage". PHB-Cl., 65 (para. 145). This argument is contradicted by the Claimants' contemporaneous evidence:

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[Redacted]; CMA - Blackmore Report, 32 (paras. 133-149);

99 The Claimants take issue with a map which Romania produced to show the most likely route by which cyanide would be transported to the Project site. They claim that the route is inconsistent with those in the EIA Report and that Romania “inaccurately lengthened the route and exaggerated the risks associated with cyanide transport.” PHB-Cl., 65 (para. 144, n. 305). This is incorrect.

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construction phase of the project" (i.e. not of cyanide and not during the operational phase of the mine). C-389, 9. That map is thus wholly irrelevant.

100 Lastly, the Claimants' allegation that Ms. Mocanu did not indicate that “cyanide transportation issues were an impediment to permitting” is misplaced. PHB-Cl., 67 (para. 150). TAC members over the years raised concerns about cyanide transportation. Respondent's Opening 2020, 31 et seq.

4.1.8 TMF Dam Failure and Pond Seepage

101 The Claimants reiterate various arguments about the allegedly sound design of the TMF. However, since 2005 and throughout the EIA Review Process, the TAC, Romanian authorities and the public raised concerns about the need for a geomembrane liner for the TMF – concerns which RMGC ignored. Respondent's Opening 2020, 51 et seq.

102 To address the risk of seepage from the pond, RMGC could have either installed a geomembrane liner (in addition to or instead of the natural clay liner), as authorities repeatedly suggested (and as Romania's expert Mr. Claffey explained) or put in place a dry-stack tailings facility (as Behre Dolbear explained).

103 The Claimants speculate that Mr. Claffey "does not support Behre Dolbear's suggestion” to implement a dry-stack tailings facility. PHB-Cl., 69 (para. 157).

104 The Claimants refer to a 2017 study to argue that a dry-stack tailings facility is not suitable in climates like that of Roșia Montană. PHB-Cl., 69 (para. 157). However, Mr. Jorgensen's testimony in this regard was based on Behre Dolbear's review of currently operating mines using dry-stack tailings facilities in comparable climates. Tr. 2020, 611:4-19, 680:20-681-1 and 683:15-16; BD Report I, 33 (para. 96).

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4.1.9 Post-Closure Land Use

105 The after-use of the mine was another recurring concern for the public and the TAC, which RMGC ignored. The issue was not just about "financial guarantees" as the Claimants argue; it was about “how the area [would] look after mining", i.e. once the Claimants had completed the Project and left Roşia Montană. Respondent's Opening 2020, 72 et seq.

106 Dr. Kunze's comment that “it is not the financial responsibility of the mining company to fund and/or implement the final after-use plan", was characterized by Dr. Dodds-Smith as "not just a deviation from 'best practice', it is not even generally accepted practice". CMA - Dodds-Smith Report II, 23 (para. 80).

107 The Claimants argue that Dr. Kunze's comment does not mean that “RMGC would not fund works associated with enabling particular land", only that it would not “fund after-uses such as restaurants and boat rentals". PHB-Cl., 70 (para. 160). RMGC's closure costs estimate, however, did not cover the cost of any of the different after uses contemplated in the EIA Report. CMA - Dodds-Smith Report II, 22 (para. 74).

108 In particular, the Claimants are wrong to claim that the allowance for "erosion control (seeding)" in RMGC's closure cost breakdown, would cover the possible after-uses discussed in public consultations; it also would not cover the measures in RMGC's Biodiversity Management Plan, i.e. "ecological corridors including meadow belts and scrub (woodland) belts". PHB-Cl., 71 (para. 160, n. 329).

109 Establishing "such ... ecological corridors including meadow belts and scrub (woodland) belts" may have required more than just seeding, and Dr. Kunze did not suggest in his reports that these costs were included in RMGC's closure costs calculation, as the Claimants argue now for the first time. CMA - Dodds-Smith Report II, 22 (para. 74).

110 [Redacted]

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111 RMGC's failure to specify the after-use of the mine and to provide proper funding for its implementation would in and of itself justify the TAC's non-issuance of the permit.

112 Even assuming the Ministry's non-issuance of the environmental permit amounted to a BIT breach (which is denied), the TAC would have likely issued the permit upon the condition that RMGC provide this information. The Claimants fail to prove that RMGC would have been able to operate the Project profitably even if it had been required to provide proper funding for the after-use of the mine. Respondent's Opening 2020, 78.

4.1.10 The Claimants Improperly Rely on Selected Statements by State Officials to Argue That the Environmental Permit Should Have Been Issued

113 The Claimants rely on statements by Minister of Environment Borbély in late 2011 to argue that he “repeatedly confirmed” that a decision on the environmental permit would be taken in one or two months. PHB-Cl., 27 (para. 63(f)). However,

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was "observ[ing] the European law in force”, that “technical issues must be clarified", and that the TAC had not yet issued its “report". C-633;

114 The Claimants allege that Mr. Anton repeatedly confirmed in early 2012 that the Ministry was simply waiting for the Ministry of Culture's endorsement. PHB-Cl., 28 (para. 63(g)). However,

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more specifically at the stage of quality analysis of the project environmental impact report" and that "[g]iven the project complexity and the multitude of legal requirements in force, which must be followed, the [TAC] has requested from the project Titleholder, [RMGC], additional information, clarifications regarding the submitted documentation.” R-471, 1.

115 The Claimants allege that “Government officials thereafter repeatedly acknowledged that the technical assessment had been completed at the November 2011 TAC meeting ... and that the only reason the Ministry of Culture failed to confirm its endorsement before 2013 was political blockage." PHB-Cl., 28 (para. 63(h)). The allegation is incorrect, including for the following reasons:

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116 The Claimants allege that Government officials publicly stated in 2013 that the Project met all legal requirements. PHB-Cl., 31 (paras. 65 (d)-(h)). However, such statements must each be put in context:

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the Project. The many sweeping statements of support for the Project by Government officials, coupled with the submission of the Roşia Montană Law to Parliament, undercut the Claimants' arguments that the Government intended to harm their investment. These statements reflect an intention to help the Claimants, not harm them. Claimants' Opening - Volume 6, 36;

117 The Claimants argue that the "Respondent ... asks the Tribunal to believe that all of the Romanian officials who stated repeatedly that all issues were addressed and/or that the Project met permitting requirements were either uninformed, misinformed, or acted beyond their competence.” PHB-Cl., 32 (para. 67). Romania in fact asks the Tribunal to consider each statement on which the Claimants rely in context and:

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4.2 The Government Did Not Block Permitting Pending Improved Economic Terms and a Positive Political Decision

118 Because RMGC failed to meet the permitting requirements, the Claimants' allegations of coercion through a “permitting blockage" collapse. They

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have indeed effectively abandoned their allegations of coercion. PHB-Resp., 72 (para. 249).

119 In any event, the lack of merit of the Claimants' allegations of coercion was confirmed at the 2019 hearing, including through the testimony of their own witnesses. PHB-Resp., 63 (paras. 211-341). The Claimants ignore that evidence and adopt yet another narrative, which is equally baseless and unsupported.

120 The Claimants now allege that from August 2011, the Government adopted "a policy" not to advance the Project's permitting. They contend that they "are not required to prove the State's motive” for that policy as “regardless of the State's motivations, it is the impact that is decisive.” PHB-Cl., 75 (para. 171). However:

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121 They allege that the policy was driven by personal political interest, suggesting that Prime Minister Boc wanted to guarantee his political future in Cluj, and that allowing the Project to proceed would have been incompatible with that objective. PHB-Cl., 22 (para. 62(a)). However:

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[Redacted]

122 The Claimants allege that Minister of Environment Borbély and Minister of Culture Hunor blocked the Project "not only because they were members of [Prime Minister Boc's] Cabinet and ruling coalition, but for their own party-related political reasons.” PHB-Cl., 24 (para. 62(b)). That claim is unsupported and contradictory:

123 As for Prime Minister Ungureanu's government, the Claimants suggest that "the continuing service of Ministers Borbély and Hunor" meant that the government was still blocking the Project. PHB-Cl., 21 (para. 57). However, Minister Bode categorically denied this allegation and the Claimants did not cross-examine him on that evidence. Bode, 2 (paras. 7-10); Tr. 2019, 2563:3-6. The Claimants are thus precluded from relying on their new allegation.

124 As for Prime Minister Ponta's government, the Claimants allege that "Prime Minister Ponta could not allow himself" to support a project that was supported by “Prime Minister Ponta's main political rival, President Băsescu". PHB-Cl., 24 (para. 62(c)). However, Prime Minister Ponta testified that he supported the Project. Ponta, 1 (para. 5). The purported motive for the “policy” is thus baseless. The Claimants have also failed to prove any interference of Prime Minister Ponta's government with the Project. The claim that the Ponta Government “maintained the policy that the Project would not proceed without an increase of the State's shareholding and royalties and without a political decision" is unsupported.

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125 The Claimants allege that the alleged policy “clearly affected permitting decisions by the Ministry of Environment and the Ministry of Culture". PHB-Cl., 14 (para. 39). They add that “each significant permitting decision required political support at the ministerial level and could not be decided by technical staff”. PHB-Cl., 103 (para. 241). Nonetheless the Claimants:

126 The Claimants contend that the "policy" prevented “the correction and update of the 2010 List of Historical Monuments”. PHB-Cl., 14 (para. 39). However:

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127 The Claimants contend that the alleged "policy" prevented "issuance in early 2012 and thereafter of the critical EP”. PHB-Cl., 14 (para. 39). This is incorrect; RMGC failed to meet the permitting requirements in August 2011, in early 2012 and thereafter. [Redacted]

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[Redacted]

128 Having failed to show any conduct of Romania in August 2011 or thereafter implementing the alleged "policy," the Claimants have now changed their position regarding the public statements of Romanian officials:

129 The Claimants assert that public statements after August 2011 “delivered the message" that the Project would not proceed, “absent a better economic deal and a favorable political assessment by the Government and its ruling coalition." PHB-Cl., 16 (para. 45). They suggest that "Minister of Environment Borbély and Minister of Culture Hunor underscored the lack,

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and continuing importance, of a renegotiated economic agreement to moving forward with the EP and the Project.” PHB-Cl., 20 (para. 55). The Claimants conclude that "[g]iven the public pronouncements by the Boc Government and the continuing service of Ministers Borbély and Hunor in the Ungureanu Government, the Ungureanu Government clearly did not depart from the course set in August 2011." PHB-Cl., 21 (para. 57).

130 Not one press article published during the Boc and Ungureanu governments contained any such statement. As Mr. Tănase explained to the press on 23 August 2011: “We have never been suggested that environmental assessment would be conditional on the renegotiation of the contract." R-391.

131 Neither of the press articles referred to by the Claimants states otherwise and at the hearing [Redacted] could not identify any such statement. Tr. 2019, 843:1-5. In fact:

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environmental aspects are on par with the best practices in the EU.” C-2155, 1 et seq.;

- On 17 September 2011 that "he would not propose any government decision regarding the environmental permit, unless he is certain that this mining project in Roşia Montană is safe for the environment and the highest EU standards are applied.” C-2633.01;

- On 29 November 2011 that “the project would not receive his approval if it is proven that it would pollute the region.” C-2639.01;

- On 18 December 2011 that as Minister of Environment, his concern was that of "observ[ing] the European law in force." C-633, 2;

- On 21 December 2011 that he "will not issue this endorsement unless [he is] 100% convinced that the project meets all the European criteria. From the technical point of view, we must still receive certain explanations." C-1505, 1;

- On 27 December 2011 that he had “to take a stand from the point of view of the environment, and ... [he] will not grant this endorsement unless [he is] 100% convinced that it corresponds to the provisions of the European Union, which are the highest standards, and that it will not harm the environment.” C-637, 2;

- On 31 January 2012 that “I will not propose any kind of environmental permit until I am 100% convinced that it does not harm the environment and does observe the best practices"; he added that the “documentation is under study at the Technical Committee” and that there were "still some issues to be clarified". R-633;

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mining should be the solution to protect the Roșia Montană patrimony. C-566, 1 et seq.;

4.3 [Redacted]

132 The Claimants cynically focus on the Government's unsuccessful effort to help the Project as the basis of the alleged breach, alleging that the Government abandoned the regular administrative permitting procedure by conditioning the issuance of the environmental permit on a commercial negotiation and Parliament's approval of the Roşia Montană Law. PHB-Cl., 71 (Section V). The evidence shows that the “parliamentary route" provided an alternate path forward and constituted an attempt to assist

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RMGC to meet the permitting requirements. PHB-Resp., 99 (Section 2.3.1).

133 The Claimants allege – but fail to prove – that the Ponta Government maintained a policy that the Project would not proceed unless Parliament approved the Roșia Montană Law. They now argue that the increase of the State's economic benefits was only a pre-condition to Parliament's political approval of the Project. PHB-Cl., 71 (para. 162). However:

134 [Redacted]

135 The Claimants rely on public statements of Prime Minister Ponta and Minister Plumb in 2012 to argue that the approval of the Project was contingent upon increasing the State's economic benefits. PHB-Cl., 72 (para. 165). However:

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constitute "measures" attributable to Romania. R. PO27 Reply, 15 (paras. 43-45).

136 The Claimants rely on statements to the press by members of the Ponta Government to argue that issuance of the environmental permit was contingent upon Parliament's approval of the Roșia Montană Law. PHB-Cl., 73 (para. 166). They also point to Minister Plumb's statement that the "environmental agreement will only be issued provided the Parliament's approval of this draft law”. PHB-Cl., 75 (para. 170); see also PHB-Cl., 83 (para. 193).

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137 The Claimants point to the statements of State Secretary Năstase at the 31 May 2013 TAC meeting as evidence that the Government would withhold the environmental permit unless Parliament approved the Roşia Montană Law. PHB-Cl., 73 (paras. 167-168).

138 [Redacted]

139 The Claimants claim that Gabriel “objected to a 'Special Law”'. PHB-Cl., 71 (para. 162) and 76 (para. 175).

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140 Contrary to the Claimants' allegation, RMGC never tried to persuade the Government to “give up a Project-specific Special Law”. PHB-Cl., 77 (para. 178).

141 The Claimants argue that Project-specific legislation was not necessary to extend the License, as RMGC had only requested a general legislative change followed by an addendum to the License. PHB-Cl., 78 (para. 180).

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142 [Redacted]

143 The Claimants argue that RMGC did not seek a “guarantee of permits", PHB-Cl., 78 (para. 182). However:

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[Redacted]

144 The Claimants deny that the Roşia Montană Law would have given RMGC the ability to proceed with construction prior to obtaining an ADC. PHB-Cl., 79 (para. 183).

145 The Claimants argue that they had no choice but to acquiesce to the Government's alleged demands as rejecting the Government's approach and suing the State would end the Project. PHB-Cl., 79 (para. 184).

146 The Claimants allege that the Government assumed the risk that it would need to pay billions to Gabriel for rejecting the Project based on a political process, which Prime Minister Ponta allegedly recognized amounted to nationalization. PHB-Cl., 80 (para. 185).

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4.4 The Government Did Not Repudiate the Project and the Joint-Venture

147 After the Government's attempt to facilitate the Project's permitting failed due to widespread social opposition to the Project, the Claimants seek to impute the non-issuance of the environmental permit to some alleged block by Romania, when it is RMGC's failure to obtain the social license and to satisfy the requirements of the "classical route" that has prevented the permit's issuance. PHB-Resp., 107 (Section 2.3.2).

148 Instead of providing evidence of purported interference, the Claimants only point to political statements, taken out of context, thus constructing their case on supposition. Their case is inconsistent with Gabriel Canada's contemporaneous understanding that the Government did not reject the Project following Parliament's rejection of the Roșia Montană Law and that the EIA process was ongoing. R-539, 3 et seq.; Rejoinder, 202 (Section 3.6.1.11).

149 The Claimants argue that, on 9 September 2013, Prime Minister Ponta and Senator Antonescu called on Parliament to reject the Special Law and

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"made clear that a political decision had been taken that the Roşia Montană Project would not be done." They point to statements by Senator Antonescu that the Project "cannot be supported" and statements by Prime Minister Ponta that allegedly demonstrate the rejection of the Roșia Montană Law and the Project. PHB-Cl., 80 (paras. 186-188).

150 The Claimants argue that “the Government insisted on presenting a Special Law to Parliament and emphasized that it would not issue the EP or allow the Project to proceed unless Parliament approved the Special Law." PHB-Cl., 81 (para. 189).

151 Regarding Gabriel Canada's failure to contemporaneously disclose the allegedly political rejection of the Project, the Claimants argue that

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investors were warned about senior Government officials' statements pertaining to rejection of the Roşia Montană Law, and that arbitration would be initiated if Parliament rejected the law. They then argue that because “there had been no formal legal act of rejection" it was only with the passage of time that the nature and effect of the repudiation became undeniable. PHB-Cl., 82 (paras. 190-191).

152 [Redacted]

153 [Redacted]

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[Redacted]

154 The Claimants argue that the environmental permit should have been issued following the rejection of the Roșia Montană Law. PHB-Cl., 83 (para. 195). However:

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generally coupled with statements to the effect that the TAC still needed to render its recommendation. See above para. 116;

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155 The Claimants suggest that the EIA Review Process was followed for Cernavodă because the Ministry “notified deficiencies that were remedied." PHB-Cl., 84 (para. 196).

156 The Claimants maintain that the 2010 and 2015 LHMs as well as the UNESCO application evidence Romania's purported repudiation of the Claimants' investment. PHB-Cl., 84 (paras. 197-200). However:

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archaeological research, which may have allowed a more precise delimitation of the archaeological site. Rejoinder, 213 (paras. 679-681); see also id. at 95 (para. 315) and 190 (para. 607).

4.5 Romania Did Not Breach Any of the Treaty Standards

157 The Claimants misrepresent and confuse the standards under the BITs and fail to apply them to the facts. Insofar as the Claimants' Post-Hearing Brief repeats prior arguments, the Tribunal is referred to Romania's prior submissions. R. PO27 Reply, 7 (paras. 23-50); Rejoinder, 41 (paras. 134-207, 747-779, 782-793, 805-835 and 903-940); Counter-Memorial, 212 (paras. 555-592, 613-638, 641-644, 658, 655-656 and 670-673).

158 The Claimants present a few new arguments regarding Romania's alleged breaches, which fare no better:

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(PHB-Cl., 96 (para. 226)); there was no such failure. Rejoinder, 244 (paras. 766-769); Counter-Memorial, 243 (paras. 646-648);

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5 THE CLAIMANTS HAVE FAILED TO ESTABLISH CAUSATION

159 The Claimants make no attempt to establish a causal link between the alleged breach and the claimed loss; rather they seek to shift to Romania the burden of disproving causation by repeating their allegations of treaty breach and the allegation that they are not responsible for the Project's stalling. PHB-Cl., 114 (para. 267). This does not help the Claimants discharge their burden.

160 As to the standard, after referring to the Bilcon case in support of their claims, the Claimants now seek to distinguish Bilcon. PHB-Cl., 107 (paras. 253-256). However:

161 The Claimants argue there are no “serious questions about RMGC's ability, absent Romania's wrongful conduct, to have obtained" all the requisite permits. PHB-Cl., 108 (para. 257). However:

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162 The Claimants suggest that causation is established because Prime Minister Ponta and Minister Şova discussed publicly the possibility of the Claimants bringing a lawsuit against Romania. PHB-Cl., 108 (para. 258). However:

163 The Claimants address RMGC's inability to secure the surface rights in the context of their arguments on quantum, whereas the issue goes primarily to the absence of a causal link between the alleged breach of the BITs and the claimed loss. PHB-Cl., 140 (paras. 337-341). RMGC's failure to secure the surface rights severs this link because:


11 RMGC also needs the surface rights for the environmental permit. See above para. 94.

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164 It is thus speculative to assume that RMGC would have obtained the needed surface rights within the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the Claimants cannot show that, but for the alleged breach, the Project would have proceeded "in all probability” or “with a sufficient degree of certainty".

165 The Claimants nevertheless contend that RMGC had acquired 78% “of the affected properties”, that “expropriation was not inevitable and it was available to the extent needed", and that RMGC reasonably expected to acquire all remaining properties once it recommenced acquisitions. PHB-Cl., 140 (paras. 337-338).

166 The Claimants argue that, had expropriation been required, the phases of the Project would have given RMGC the time to complete the expropriation procedure because “the land of potential holdouts was only implicated in later phases." PHB-Cl., 140 (para. 339). This is incorrect.

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channel and by the maximum operating pond limit, meaning that RMGC must acquire their properties before it could obtain a building permit for the first phase of the Project. PHB-Resp., 38 (para. 109);

167 The Claimants argue that RMGC did not need the properties within the historical center. [Redacted] PHB-Cl., 141 (para. 340). This is also incorrect.

168 The Claimants argue that the public utility of the Project was not in doubt, that RMGC could have completed the expropriation process within a year,

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and that it was sure to acquire a concession over the expropriated property as the sole qualified bidder. They contend that property holdouts would not have blocked the Project because holdouts did not block projects in which their experts and witnesses were involved. PHB-Cl., 142 (para. 341). This is false.

169 The Claimants also address the feasibility of the Project in the context of quantum even though feasibility relates more to causation. They largely repeat their arguments from their pleadings and their Opening, which have already been addressed. PHB-Cl., 154 (paras. 370-371); PHB-Resp., 138 (Section 4).

170 [Redacted]

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[Redacted]

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171 Attempting to challenge the significance of Mr. McLoughlin's conclusion that the Project's blasting would render the historical center uninhabitable, the Claimants argue that, if houses were to become temporarily uninhabitable during Project operations, RMGC would only "be required to compensate such property owners for any damage caused, including the temporary loss of habitability.” PHB-Cl., 157 (para. 382). The Claimants' argument is unsupported, cynical, and wrong.

172 The Claimants challenge Mr. McLoughlin's conclusions, arguing that RMGC planned to implement buffer areas and that the effects of blasting were "extensively ... studied" in the EIA and other reports. PHB-Cl., 158 (paras. 383-384).

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173 [Redacted]

174 [Redacted]

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175 [Redacted]

176 The Claimants allege that "[w]here the EIA Report speaks of prohibiting 'more than one blast per pit or quarry per workday,' this is understood by experts in the industry as referring to a blast time, i.e. limiting blasting to one defined period of time (usually 15 to 20 minutes in length).” PHB-Cl., 160 (para. 387). This contention is false and unsupported.

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blasting mitigation measures restrict each “blast" to 7,000 kg of TNT equivalent. PHB-Resp., 174 (para. 690);

177 The Claimants argue that, in any event, the zones delineated by Ipromin could be adapted “in accordance with the practical results obtained during the mining operations”. PHB-Cl., 160 (para. 388).

178 [Redacted]

179 As for contributory negligence:

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claim that "there is no basis to refer to the doctrine" (PHB-Cl., 110 (para. 264)); in support of that contention, they essentially repeat their allegation that Romania breached the BITs (PHB-Cl., 109 (paras. 260-263)); that is circular and not responsive to the applicable standard. R. PO27 Reply, 101 (paras. 253-273);

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6 THE CLAIMANTS HAVE FAILED TO ESTABLISH THE QUANTUM OF THEIR CLAIMS

6.1 The Claimants' Case on Quantum Is Based on an Incorrect Valuation Date

180 The continuous changes to the Claimants' case on valuation date is one of the prime manifestations of the lack of substance of their claims. They require more than 50 paragraphs to explain their current position (PHB-Cl., 98 (paras. 231-246, 247-249, 250-252, 270-289 and 408-426)) which, as shown below, contradicts itself and their prior arguments.

181 They present three alternative claims (PHB-Cl., 98 (para. 231)) in support of an undetermined number of valuation dates since they conclude that the Tribunal could choose one of the three dates put forward by them or "another date”. PHB-Cl., 106 (paras. 251-252 and 428)). This is inadmissible since:

182 In any event, the three claims lack merit.

183 The claim that quantum should be assessed as of 29 July 2011 is unsustainable.

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assessing damages” (PHB-Cl., 116 (paras. 176, 278 and 283)) have already been thoroughly rebutted. R. PO27 Reply, 71 (paras. 172-190);

The Claimants explain that the tribunals in Amoco v. Iran, Crystallex v. Venezuela and Quasar de Valores v. Russia did not select a valuation date corresponding to the start of the wrongful conduct (PHB-Cl., 176 (paras. 429-432)) and yet cite the same cases along with Kardassopoulos v. Georgia, in support of the contention that the valuation date must be fixed as of “when the wrongful conduct began". PHB-Cl., 117 (paras. 278-283). Neither authority supports that contention as even their (incomplete) summaries of the cases show;

Even assuming those authorities supported the notion that a claimant can claim compensation irrespective of whether the loss was caused by wrongful conduct (which neither does), they would still not support the Claimants' choice of a valuation date in July 2011. That is because the Claimants acknowledge that they suffered no damage in July 2011 or even months after that date as "the fair market value of Gabriel's interest in the Project Rights based on the average market capitalization of Gabriel Canada over the entire year of 2011 did not materially change.” PHB-Cl., 120 (para. 287);

184 As for the alternative claim that quantum should be assessed as of 9 September 2013. PHB-Cl., 105 (paras. 247-249 and 289):

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185 As for the further alternative claim that quantum should be assessed as of an undetermined date when “conduct that followed" 9 September 2013 took place (PHB-Cl., 106 (paras. 250-252), that claim remains undeveloped and, in any event, there is no evidence in support of any such valuation date.

6.2 The Claimants Have Failed to Prove the Quantum of the Alleged Loss

6.2.1 Gabriel Canada's Stock Market Capitalization Is Not a Valid Proxy for the Value of the Claimants' Alleged Loss

186 Gabriel Canada's stock market capitalization as at the Valuation Date is not a valid proxy for the Claimants' alleged loss, including because

i) The Project Rights retain significant value after the alleged expropriation. PHB-Resp., 191 (Section 5.3);

ii) The value of the Claimants' shareholding in RMGC is different from the value of the Project Rights. PHB-Resp., 195 (Section 5.4.1.1);

iii) [Redacted]

iv) A speculative bubble in the price of gold was inflating Gabriel Canada's stock price. PHB-Resp., 210 (Section 5.4.1.3).

187 Moreover, there is no justification for applying an acquisition premium on Gabriel Canada's stock price. PHB-Resp., 214 (Section 5.4.3).

188 Although they acknowledge that the alleged breach did not occur on the Valuation Date, the Claimants argue that the quantum of their alleged loss

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corresponds to Gabriel Canada's stock market capitalization as of the Valuation Date (with an acquisition premium). PHB-Cl., 121 (paras. 291-292). They argue that Gabriel Canada's value outside of the Project Rights was "immaterial”. PHB-Cl., 139 (para. 333). Their position is unfounded.

189 The Claimants argue that Dr. Burrows agrees that a market capitalization may be the most reliable indicator of value and has used that method himself in another investment treaty case relating to a gold mining company. PHB-Cl., 123 (para. 294).

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190 The Claimants repeat their discredited arguments for an acquisition premium, (PHB-Cl., 123 (paras. 295-313)), which have already been addressed. Rejoinder, 387 (Section 9.1.2.4); PHB-Resp., 214 (Section 5.4.3). However, a few additional observations are pertinent.

191 [Redacted]

192 [Redacted]

193 [Redacted]

194 [Redacted]

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6.2.2 Other Methods Fail to Validate the Stock Market Capitalization Valuation

195 Compass Lexecon's alternative methodologies (market multiples and P/NAV valuations (PHB-Cl., 132 (paras. 315-319)) do not corroborate their flawed market capitalization valuation:

196 The Claimants contend (for the first time) that Behre Dolbear's "rule of thumb" provides support for their valuation. PHB-Cl., 133 (paras. 320-321).

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197 [Redacted]

198 The Claimants argue that valuations and acquisitions involving the Anglo Asian project, Canplats Resources, Gold Eagle, and Frontier demonstrate that Bucium had significant value. PHB-Cl., 135 (paras. 324-326).

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199 [Redacted]

6.2.3 [Redacted]

200 [Redacted]

201 [Redacted]

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[Redacted]

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[Redacted]

202 [Redacted]

203 [Redacted]

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[Redacted]

204 [Redacted]

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205 [Redacted]

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206 [Redacted]

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207 [Redacted]

208 [Redacted]

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209 [Redacted]

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6.2.4 Dr. Burrows' Assessments Are Reliable Indicators of Fair Market Value

210 The Claimants challenge the accuracy of Dr. Burrows' DCF valuation, arguing that it is at "odds with the market measures of value" because it incorporates the impact of Respondent's “wrongful measure", disregards that the "Respondent twice endorsed RMGC's timeline as achievable", "adopts speculative assessments as to cost items imagined for this arbitration", uses an "unrealistically high discount rate", and uses an approach to set gold price that Dr. Brady confirmed would not be used. PHB-Cl., 162 (paras. 390-394). However:

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211 The Claimants also criticize Dr. Burrows' market multiples approach, arguing that he applied ad hoc adjustments to his sample, as well as technical assumptions regarding increased costs based on “Respondent's arbitration arguments". PHB-Cl., 163 (paras. 395-397).

212 The Claimants try to discard the significance of the only transaction (Foricon) on record involving the asset to be valued (namely stock in RMGC), arguing that it was distressed sale, that Gabriel Jersey had a pre-

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emption right, and that it would have been nearly impossible for Foricon to find a buyer because Gabriel had the right to match the terms of any offer and buyers had the option of buying Gabriel Canada stock instead. PHB-Cl., 164 (paras. 398-404).

6.2.5 The Decrease in Gabriel Canada's Value Between the Valuation Date and the Date of the Breach Was Not Caused by Romania's Allegedly Wrongful Measures

213 The Claimants argue that “wrongful measures" pre-dating the date of breach caused the decrease in Gabriel Canada's market capitalization. They contend that, had the permitting process followed its lawful course, the decline in Gabriel Canada's share price would not have occurred. PHB-Cl., 167 (paras. 408-426).

214 The Claimants concede that the most important decline in Gabriel Canada's market capitalization immediately followed the 4 April 2012

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decision of the Alba Iulia Court of Appeal (the “4 April decision"), which confirmed the annulment of the Roşia Montană Local Council's attempt to retroactively re-approve the 2002 PUZ and PUG. R-207. The Claimants allege that the impact of this decision on Gabriel Canada's share price would have been “avoided altogether or subsequently corrected had the Ministry of Environment acted as the law required and recommended issuance of the EP.” PHB-Cl., 171 (para. 418). This is false because:

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Figure 1 – source: Respondent's Opening 2020, 178.

[A line chart is shown. The following information is transcribed from the chart.]

Date Marked:

Legend:

Axis Labels:

215 The evidence (see Figure 1 above) indisputably shows that it was the 4 April decision, which in turn was a consequence the social opposition to the Project (NGO litigation), that caused the most drastic drop in Gabriel Canada's share price during the relevant period, from 2010 until the end of 2013.

216 The Claimants try to minimize the significance of the 4 April decision, arguing that Gabriel Canada's subsequent loss of value also stemmed from other events and that other decreases in value occurred prior to and after the decision. PHB-Cl., 169 (paras. 414-418).

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undermined the evidence on record, which indisputably shows the impact of the 4 April decision);

217 The Claimants introduce a claim in the alternative in which they adjust Gabriel Canada's inflated market capitalization as of the Valuation Date to reflect the evolution of indexes between 29 July 2011 and 9 September 2013. PHB-Cl., 175 (paras. 427-439).

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6.2.6 The Claimants Are Not Entitled to Sunk Costs

218 The Claimants have introduced a new alternative compensation claim, requesting that, if the Tribunal does not award them the over USD 3.2 billion claimed in the prayer for relief in their written pleadings, it should, in the alternative, award them USD 760 million in allegedly sunk costs. PHB-Cl., 180 (para. 440). This is a new, alternative request for relief.

219 First, the claim is a new claim and as such inadmissible:


12 The case is not on record but it is publicly available, Judgment of the High Court of Justice of England and Wales [2020] EWHC 3068 23 nov. 2020 at https://www.bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/Comm/2020/3068.html

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220 Second, the record is in any event bereft of any evidence supporting the claim. The allegation that between 1997-2016 Gabriel Canada “invested a total of ~US$ 760 million to develop the Roșia Montană Project and the Bucium Projects” is baseless. PHB-Cl., 180 (para. 440):

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expenditures, that is not a request for existing, contemporaneous documents") and it would be too burdensome to produce underlying documents which would allow an assessment of the link between the expenses and the projects. PO 10 Annex B, 91 (Req. 57);

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developing the projects, having decided to invest in the arbitration instead since at the latest May 2014. Respondent's Opening 2019, 9 and 95. Moreover, [Redacted] and there were no mining activities in the Bucium perimeter after the expiry of the license on 19 May 2007;

221 Third, the Claimants do not point to any legal support for their claim.

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6.2.7 The Claim for Interest Is Overstated

222 The Claimants maintain their overstated claim for interest, arguing that the risk-free rate does “not reflect commercial reality for a mining company". PHB-Cl., 182 (paras. 446-449).

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Respectfully submitted,

23 April 2021

For and on behalf of Romania

Signature

LALIVE

Veijo Heiskanen
Matthias Scherer
Noradèle Radjai
Lorraine de Germiny
Christophe Guibert de Bruet
David Bonifacio
Baptiste Rigaudeau
Emilie McConaughey

Signature

LDDP

Crenguța Leaua
Ștefan Deaconu
Andreea Simulescu
Liliana Deaconescu
Andreea Pițurca

Roşia Montană